Ghana News

Election 2024: Latest Global Info Analytics polls gives Mahama 53.2% lead


According to the most recent Global InfoAnalytics opinion poll for the 2024 elections, the flag bearer of the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC), John Dramani Mahama, has taken a significant lead over the governing New Patriotic Party’s candidate, Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, in the race to be Ghana’s next president in January 2025.

With roughly eleven months till the elections, John Mahama has a 53.2% advantage in the polls, while Dr Mahamudu Bawumia has a 29.6% lead. Meanwhile, Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen, a former Trade and Industry Minister who defected from the NPP to run as an independent candidate under the “Movement of Change,” received 7.7% of the vote.


While John Mahama’s latest poll figures showed a significant increase from the 48.3% he received in a similar poll conducted in October 2023, Vice President Dr Bawumia saw a marginal increase from the 28% he received in the same period, with Alan Kyerematen’s 7.7% representing a significant drop from the 11.3% he was projected to receive in the October poll.

Furthermore, almost 4.2% of voters in the new survey indicate they plan to vote for other candidates, down from 7% in the previous poll, while 5.3% are still unsure about their decision for the 2024 race.

John Mahama leads with 51% of first-time voters, with DMB expected to earn 25% and AKK 8%. 7% of first-time voters plan to vote for  other candidates while 9% are undecided.

According to the most recent survey, Mr. Mahama currently leads in all areas except the North-East, where Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s margin has shrunk. According to Global Info Analytics, while JDM’s advantage in the Ashanti and Eastern regions may be an aberration in the polls, the NPP’s low performance in those regions may represent rising worry about voter indifference.

According to studies, former President John Mahama’s 24-hour policy is the most popular among voters. Which of the 24-hour Economy, Blue Economy/Digitization, and Great Transformational Plan slogans/policies drew the most attention from voters? Approximately half of those polled indicated the 24-hour economy, 25% said the Blue Economy/Digitization, 8% suggested GTP, and 17% said none of the above.

The survey also forecasts that the NDC will form the majority in parliament, with 52% of respondents planning to vote for NDC candidates in the 2024 elections, up from 46% in October 2023, while the NPP is now on 31%, down from 38% in October 2023.

On the topic of whether the NPP will break the eight, 60% of voters replied no, 21% said yes, and 19% said they didn’t know.

The survey was performed between December 22nd and December 30th, 2023, with a sample size of 5,881 respondents from all 16 regions and 82 constituencies.






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